Ideas about the future. Checked against evidence.
Future, Checked
What was predicted? What came true, partly came true, or did not? Open a story to see the claim and the verdict.
01 / 1920First storyFUTURE, CHECKEDČapekWould robots end human work?1920Open the story ↗Close the story ↙
THE VERDICT
Would robots end human work?
Factory automation arrived. A world without human work did not.
Read the Čapek article →02 / 1950Coming soonFUTURE, CHECKEDTuringCould a machine pass as human?1950Open the story ↗Close the story ↙
NEXT IN THE SERIES
Could a machine pass as human?
A later result looks promising. Did it meet the original deadline?
Coming soon03 / 1960Coming soonFUTURE, CHECKEDLickliderWould people and computers think together?1960Open the story ↗Close the story ↙
NEXT IN THE SERIES
Would people and computers think together?
The partnership arrived in parts. Which part of the promise was fulfilled?
Coming soon04 / 1962Coming soonFUTURE, CHECKEDEngelbartCould tools augment human intellect?1962Open the story ↗Close the story ↙
NEXT IN THE SERIES
Could tools augment human intellect?
Working tools are visible. The whole-system benefit is a bigger claim.
Coming soon05 / 1987Coming soonFUTURE, CHECKEDBrooksWould software find its silver bullet?1987Open the story ↗Close the story ↙
NEXT IN THE SERIES
Would software find its silver bullet?
A tenfold promise needs a denominator, a deadline and evidence.
Coming soon